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November 19, 2007

Blog Action Day : Global Warming using Uncertainty

Filed under: General, blogs

This is really late for Blog Action Day, but better late than never.

Experimenting with communities and blogs at work, so I have joined our Sustainable Development group and started a blog…not that I know much about this topic (yet ;) but I figure if I post a couple of times a week I’ll get the momentum going, perhaps some discussion, ie comments, or better still others posting on their own blogs in response. Plus it means my blogging will help contribute awareness about the environment.

If I keep up this championing and persuade the CoP team to nuture key managers to blog, then I’d hope to see a viral thing happen where a blogosphere will manifest, let’s see.

This is opposed to a formal roll out, telling people they must share, here’s our latest tool (verion 2.0 conscription), eeek!

The idea is for it to happen naturally, people will have a place to read announcements and publishings by their managers and peers, and perhaps a knee jerk reaction can be augumented by offering them their own blog to post those complementing, opposing, and insightful thoughts, ideas, and arguments.

I just realised that as well as blogs within an OpenText CoP (ppt), you can also blog outside of a CoP, this way you are not limited to a topic blog (but then you can’t send or tag a blog post to appear in a CoP). I also successfully posted via email, along with subscribing by email, this is a plus as this is a familiar place for people…pity you can’t comment on a blog via email (you can do this with the discussion forums).

While I’m at it, the OpenText blogs used to have RSS output, suddenly I don’t see this anymore.
The other thing is that permalinks are buried, you have to click on an action menu and choose “view entry”, now who’s gonna do this…What results is that people will blog about a post someone wrote and point to their blog homepage instead…not good!
If they do successfully point to one of your posts, I wonder if you will be notified, as you can’t run an ego feed…there is a blog post metadata field called “references”, but I think this is for Shortcuts, not inlinks.

Whoa, I got carried away, I’ve hijacked the purpose of this blog post with my tech banter…so here is my contribution to Blog Action Day, or moreso my finding that I’d like to share.

Interesting argument about Global Warming using Uncertainty.

The proposition is that when faced with the uncertainty of global warming happening or not, the safest thing to do is to take action. The case in this clip is; whether it is really happening and whether humans are adding to it doesn’t really matter, that fact that we are uncertain leaves us no choice but to take a safe approach of “action”.

There are 2 possible situations nature is presenting:
- Climate Change is True or False

There are 2 choices that humans can make:
- Take or not take action

If we take action and eventually find global warming is false we have spent lots of money resulting in global economic depression.
If we take action and find global warming is true then it’s money well spent and we are helping save that planet, instead of helping its destruction.

If we don’t take action and eventually find global warming is false then we are happy.
If we don’t take action and find global warming is true, then this is the worse possible scenario, we will not only have a global economic depression, but a global catastrophe.

So when you do the maths; if you don’t take action the worst cast scenario is a global catastrophe, and if you do take action the worst case scenario is a global economic depression (still I wouldn’t say bad money spent).

So the arguement is that when it comes to the uncertainty of global warming, taking action is the safest bet.

The following clip has had over 12,000 views on YouTube and over 1400 diggs, I’d thought I’d spread this further.


Link

Here’s a diagram to tie you over incase you can’t watch the clip:

global warming uncertainty matrix

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